The Anemos Project : Next Generation forecasting of Wind power - IMT - Institut Mines-Télécom Accéder directement au contenu
Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2004

The Anemos Project : Next Generation forecasting of Wind power

H.P. Waldl
  • Fonction : Auteur
Thierry Jouhanique
  • Fonction : Auteur
Manuel Calleja
  • Fonction : Auteur
EHN
John Toefting
  • Fonction : Auteur
C. Barquero
  • Fonction : Auteur
P. Seguardo
  • Fonction : Auteur

Résumé

This paper presents the objectives and the research work carried out in the frame of the ANEMOS project on short-term wind power forecasting. The aim of the project is to develop accurate models that substantially outperform current state-of-the-art methods, for onshore and offshore wind power forecasting, exploiting both statistical and physical modeling approaches. The project focus on prediction horizons up to 48 hours ahead and investigates predictability of wind for higher horizons up to 7 days ahead useful i.e. for maintenance scheduling. Emphasis is given on the integration of high-resolution meteorological forecasts. For the offshore case, marine meteorology is considered as well as information by satellite-radar images. Specific modules are also developed for on-line uncertainty and prediction risk estimation. An integrated software platform, 'ANEMOS', is developed to host the various models. This system will be installed by several end-users for on-line operation at onshore and offshore wind farms for prediction at a local, regional and national scale. The applications include different terrain types and wind climates, on- and offshore cases, and interconnected or island grids. The on-line operation by the utilities will allow validation of the models and an analysis of the value of wind prediction for a competitive integration of wind energy in the developing liberalized electricity markets.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
ANEMOS_DEWEK_2004_paper_v1.pdf (917.08 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine : Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
Loading...

Dates et versions

hal-00529251 , version 1 (11-03-2020)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-00529251 , version 1

Citer

Georges Kariniotakis, Didier Mayer, Heinemann Detlev, Jens Tambke, Julio Usaola, et al.. The Anemos Project : Next Generation forecasting of Wind power. International technical Conference DEWEK 2004, 7th German Wind Energy Conference, Oct 2004, Wilhelmshaven, Germany. pp.DEWEK 2004. ⟨hal-00529251⟩
95 Consultations
99 Téléchargements

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More