Coincidences and the encounter problem: A formal account

Abstract : Individuals have an intuitive perception of what makes a good coincidence. Though the sensitivity to coincidences has often been presented as resulting from an erroneous assessment of probability, it appears to be a genuine competence, based on non-trivial computations. The model presented here suggests that coincidences occur when subjects perceive complexity drops. Co-occurring events are, together, simpler than if considered separately. This model leads to a possible redefinition of subjective probability.
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  • HAL Id : hal-00601487, version 1
  • ARXIV : 1106.3932

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Jean-Louis Dessalles. Coincidences and the encounter problem: A formal account. 30th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2008, Washington, United States. pp.2134-2139. ⟨hal-00601487⟩

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